Gestalt Capital Dynamics builds SuperStreamer, a geometric model that reads the state of a market: whether it is calm, whether pressure is building, and when it is near a tipping point. Like a barometer, it is meant to tell you that conditions are changing before the change arrives.

Claims like that are easy to make and hard to check. This site exists to make ours checkable. Here we will publish what the model said, sealed and certified before the market answered, next to what the market actually did. You won't need to trust us, and you won't need to see how the model works, to confirm the record for yourself.

How every record is certified

1. SealedEach output the model emits is written to an append-only log with the time, the market, the model version and what it claimed. Each entry carries a fingerprint of the one before it, so no entry can be changed or removed without breaking the chain.
2. Signed with a Prime IdentityEach day's log is signed by a production PrID, the lifetime identity credential of the Prime Identity Architecture. Its public key is published in DNSSEC-signed DNS records, so anyone can confirm who signed it using the internet's own chain of trust.
3. Anchored outside our controlEach day's fingerprint is also time-stamped into the Bitcoin blockchain through OpenTimestamps, an open, free service. After that, no one, including us, can quietly rewrite a past day.
4. Scored against public pricesOutcomes come from public market data we don't control, and the scoring program is published. Every number and chart on this site can be recomputed from the sealed log and those prices.

Each published chart will carry a Certify link that runs these checks in your browser and shows you the evidence behind the result.

What will be measured

Each claim is stated in advance, tested on its own, and compared against a simple, fair alternative, not just against chance:

• State: when the model says a market is calm or stressed, does the next period behave that way?
• Tipping points: do its warnings come before large moves more often than warnings at random?
• Direction: when it calls up or down with a stated confidence, is it right that often?
• After costs: does a fixed, pre-written rule that uses it hold up after real trading costs?

Results that don't pass will be published beside the ones that do. A record that shows only its wins can't be told apart from a record that hides its losses.

Related

This site publishes a measurement record. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and recorded results do not guarantee future results.